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WAAS for Pitchers

Posted by John Autin
(For an explanation of the Wins Above All-Star Level method, as well as position-player values, see previous post.)

The following lists show WAAS values for (a) all HOF pitchers and (b) all retired non-HOF pitchers who have been on a HOF ballot (or will be eligible next year) and who have at least 30 WAR.


The WAR values used are those of Baseball-Reference, and all MLB seasons are included. I've tried to omit any players who are ineligible for the HOF or who were elected on the basis of something other than their MLB pitching careers.

I've done two things differently here than in the position-player lists:

  1. I've omitted the separate list of non-HOFers and included only integrated lists of HOFers and non-HOFers.
  2. It's been suggested that 2.5 is not the optimal threshold for "All-Star level," so I've also calculated the WAAS using 4.0. For each method, the pitcher's ranking is presented next to the value. 

Non-HOFers are shown in bold italics.

WAAS 2.5
Rank (2.5)
Pitcher
Rank (4.0)
WAAS 4.0
96.4
1
1
70.9
79.3
2
2
54.5
72.1
3
4
47.2
70.6
4
3
51.1
62.1
5
6
42.0
60.9
6
9
38.5
59.6
7
11
36.5
58.2
8
7
41.3
57.3
9
5
45.3
54.4
10
8
39.2
53.1
11
13
33.3
51.5
12
17
30.2
51.1
13
20
27.7
50.3
14
12
33.5
48.2
15
10
36.7
47.7
16
24
25.1
44.5
17
14
32.4
42.3
18
16
30.8
41.6
19
25
24.6
41.2
20
33
22.9
40.9
21
18
29.8
40.5
22
19
29.5
39.8
23
32
23.0
39.1
24
29
23.5
38.3
25
15
32.2
37.6
26
27
24.1
36.3
27
31
23.2
35.3
28
51
16.2
35.1
29
26
24.6
34.9
30
30
23.5
34.3
31
38
18.9
34.2
32
21
25.9
34.0
33
35
19.8
33.9
34
49
16.4
32.6
35
28
23.6
32.4
36
42
17.8
32.3
37
50
16.2
31.9
38
22
25.9
31.6
39
23
25.6
31.4
40
34
21.6
31.2
41
41
18.3
31.2
42
43
17.3
30.5
43
47
16.6
30.1
44
40
18.4
29.3
45
37
19.1
29.3
46
36
19.6
29.1
47
44
17.1
29.1
48
63
12.8
27.6
49
60
13.1
26.4
50
56
14.3
26.4
51
57
14.1
26.0
52
90
9.3
25.8
53
46
16.8
25.8
54
61
12.9
25.3
55
62
12.9
24.8
56
48
16.5
24.5
57
52
15.5
23.8
58
39
18.8
23.2
59
92
8.9
23.1
60
64
12.6
23.1
61
74
11.4
23.1
62
65
12.5
22.6
63
67
12.2
22.6
64
69
11.8
22.6
65
85
9.6
22.5
66
59
13.1
22.5
67
53
15.1
22.4
68
102
8.1
22.2
69
66
12.3
22.1
70
75
11.2
22.0
71
68
12.2
21.8
72
55
14.4
21.7
73
82
10.0
21.6
74
115
7.1
21.6
75
58
13.4
21.5
76
45
16.9
21.4
77
76
11.1
21.2
78
73
11.6
21.1
79
54
14.9
20.9
80
70
11.7
20.7
81
71
11.7
20.6
82
91
9.3
20.5
83
125
6.3
20.2
84
84
9.8
20.1
85
78
10.7
20.1
86
103
8.1
20.0
87
89
9.4
20.0
88
140
5.7
19.7
89
72
11.6
19.7
90
83
10.0
19.5
91
80
10.5
19.3
92
116
7.1
19.0
93
97
8.2
19.0
94
112
7.3
18.6
95
87
9.5
18.5
96
88
9.5
18.2
97
96
8.3
18.2
98
98
8.2
18.1
99
94
8.6
18.1
100
107
7.7
18.1
101
130
6.1
18.0
102
111
7.3
18.0
103
127
6.2
17.9
104
77
11.0
17.3
105
93
8.6
17.3
106
155
4.6
17.2
107
144
5.4
16.9
108
86
9.6
16.8
109
104
7.9
16.7
110
81
10.1
16.3
111
133
5.9
16.2
112
108
7.7
16.1
113
117
7.1
16.1
114
137
5.8
16.0
115
95
8.4
15.9
116
110
7.4
15.9
117
120
7.0
15.9
118
114
7.2
15.9
119
122
6.9
15.8
120
124
6.5
15.7
121
176
3.5
15.6
122
126
6.3
15.6
123
128
6.1
15.6
124
99
8.2
15.6
125
105
7.8
15.4
126
79
10.5
15.3
127
100
8.1
15.0
128
109
7.5
15.0
129
118
7.1
14.7
130
129
6.1
14.7
131
148
5.0
14.6
132
119
7.1
14.5
133
173
3.6
14.4
134
101
8.1
14.4
135
149
4.9
14.4
136
135
5.8
14.3
137
195
2.1
14.2
138
170
3.7
14.1
139
113
7.2
14.1
140
138
5.8
14.0
141
106
7.7
14.0
142
150
4.9
13.9
143
151
4.8
13.9
144
178
3.2
13.9
145
123
6.6
13.9
146
182
3.0
13.7
147
171
3.7
13.7
148
143
5.5
13.7
149
153
4.7
13.7
150
174
3.6
13.6
151
131
6.0
13.4
152
121
7.0
13.4
153
152
4.8
13.2
154
136
5.8
12.6
155
158
4.2
12.6
156
167
3.8
12.6
157
139
5.8
12.6
158
134
5.9
12.5
159
141
5.5
12.5
160
160
4.2
12.3
161
163
4.1
12.3
162
168
3.8
12.2
163
194
2.1
12.2
164
145
5.2
12.0
165
196
1.8
11.7
166
164
4.1
11.5
167
169
3.8
11.4
168
156
4.4
11.4
169
146
5.2
11.3
170
162
4.1
11.3
171
154
4.7
11.1
172
132
6.0
11.1
173
142
5.5
11.1
174
187
2.6
11.1
175
165
4.0
11.1
176
197
1.8
11.0
177
172
3.7
10.9
178
179
3.2
10.9
179
186
2.6
10.7
180
147
5.0
10.6
181
181
3.0
10.6
182
183
2.8
10.6
183
166
3.9
10.3
184
193
2.1
10.3
185
204
0.7
10.1
186
184
2.8
10.1
187
189
2.4
9.9
188
159
4.2
9.8
189
191
2.3
9.7
190
185
2.8
9.7
191
199
1.6
9.5
192
157
4.4
9.1
193
175
3.6
8.2
194
192
2.3
8.0
195
200
1.6
7.7
196
207
0.2
7.6
197
202
1.2
7.2
198
177
3.4
7.0
199
161
4.2
6.8
200
180
3.1
6.5
201
190
2.4
6.2
202
206
0.4
6.1
203
198
1.7
6.1
204
201
1.5
6.0
205
188
2.5
5.9
206
203
1.1
4.0
207
209
0.0
3.9
208
205
0.5
3.0
209
208
0.1

I already supported Curt Schilling, but if you consider these numbers plus his brilliant postseason record, he should be a shoo-in.

There are currently about 64 pitchers in the Hall on the basis of their MLB pitching careers. If we set the HOF quota at 80 pitchers, here are changes that would occur in the HOF membership, based on each WAAS level:

If HOF = Top 80 by WAAS 2.5:

Goodbye
Rank (2.5)
Hello
Rank (2.5)
81
3
88
21
90
22
92
24
94
25
100
32
102
34
104
38
105
39
106
43
132
46
140
48
141
49
144
51
147
52
169
54
172
55
189
56
193
57
198
58
203
59
209
60

61
62
63
64
65
66
67
69
71
72
73
75
76
77
79
80


If HOF = Top 80 by WAAS 4.0:

Goodbye
Rank (4.0)
Hello
Rank (4.0)
83
4
93
15
102
18
106
19
107
21
111
22
112
23
115
29
116
36
119
39
132
45
138
47
140
48
146
49
155
52
171
53
175
54
177
55
178
57
191
58
198
59
208
60

61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
72
74
76
78
79
80

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