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Supreme Splits Part 2: Player Age

Posted by Andy
Check out the 2011 batting splits by player age:

Split G GS PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip
Ages 25- 14218 1177 44137 39638 10004 1979 285 1029 4487 880 322 3395 8886 .252 .315 .395 .710 .299
Ages 26-30 27251 2151 82534 73644 19088 3851 429 2119 8992 1711 638 6881 15258 .259 .326 .409 .736 .299
Ages 31-35 15219 1241 47523 42514 10663 2103 149 1178 5164 547 243 3893 8599 .251 .317 .390 .708 .287
Ages 36+ 3692 287 11024 9909 2512 466 35 226 1163 141 58 849 1745 .254 .314 .376 .690 .285
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.

Tons of interesting stuff here...

It's well known that most players peak between age 27 and age 29, and the data backs that up. Note that BA, OBP, and SLG are all higher for players between 26 and 30 than for any other group.

On a per-plate-appearance basis, the Age 26-30 group also leads in doubles, homers, stolen bases (and CS), and walk. Players 25 and under lead in triples and strikeouts.

Notice how BAbip drops as players get older--I'm guessing that's an effect of fewer infield hits as players slow down a bit with age.

Game starts--44.3% of them were made by that Age 26-30 group. The youngsters started 24.2% while the 31-35 year olds started 25.6%. The oldest group started just 5.9% of the games.

Oh my how things have changed. At the height of the Steroids Era in 2001, look at the same breakdown:

Split G GS PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BAbip
Ages 25- 12113 1074 39768 35735 9197 1812 242 993 4283 809 324 2925 7234 .257 .318 .405 .723 .295
Ages 26-30 26557 2067 80776 72002 19360 3949 398 2428 9702 1437 668 6658 13791 .269 .336 .436 .772 .300
Ages 31-35 16578 1329 50929 45008 11854 2360 224 1540 6224 637 336 4555 8707 .263 .335 .428 .763 .293
Ages 36+ 5329 386 15488 13489 3468 692 64 497 1879 220 80 1668 2672 .257 .342 .428 .771 .285
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.

Suddenly there's much less of a gap between that leading group (Age 26-30) and all the older players. In fact, The oldest group has nearly the same OPS as the 26-30 guys. It's the really young guys who performed well below other folks.

And check out how the game starts break out.

Only 42.6% were started by the Age 26-30 group (as compared to 44.3% in 2011). The youngsters started 22.1%, the 31-35 year olds started 27.4% and the 36+ group started 7.9%.

In 2001, players 31 and older started 35.3% of the games, but in 2011 that number was down to 31.5%. You probably won't find any better statistical proof that use of banned substances extended careers.

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